VIRGIN AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS LIMITED (VAH)



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General Information
Company Name: Virgin Australia Holdings Limited
Stock Code: VAH
Website: www.virginaustralia.com
GICS Sub-Industry: Airlines
Market Cap ($M): 1,136
Equiv. Shares (M): 2,581

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 0.435 $ 0.440 $ 0.440 $ 0.425 $ 0.440 3,136,371 $ -0.005  -1.136 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Hold
Recommendation Date: 17th May 2013
12 Month Target Price (average): $0.467
Brokers Surveyed: 7

Company Overview

Business Description:
Virgin Australia Holdings Limited (VAH, formerly Virgin Blue Holdings Limited) established itself as a low-cost carrier under the new brand 'Virgin Australia' for both domestic and international airlines. VAH provides inbound and outbound services between Australia and overseas, with key geographical areas being New Zealand and USA.

Strategy Analysis:
VBA launched its business in Australia as a full service operator looking to provide travelers an alternative to QAN which has been such a dominant carrier in the country. However the company has found going tough in the leisure segment with the introduction of QAN's low cost carrier Jetstar. The focus is now on moving up the yield curve by targeting the business end of the market. Certain sectors like the Sydney-Perth sector will see a rise in capacity as the company looks to deploy wide body aircraft to mainly cater to business customers. The company says that every percentage point improvement in yields will have a dramatic effect on the bottom line. VAH has also created a virtual international network by forging alliances with international carriers like Air New Zealand, Etihad, Delta and Singapore Airlines. These alliances will feed traffic into and out of Australia enabling both leisure and business passengers a viable option to QAN. In addition VAH will not need to invest in expensive aircraft resulting in lower capital expenditure and hopefully better returns. Perhaps the most important and significant tie-up is with Singapore Airlines given its brand image amongst business travelers and its footprint in Asia. Virgin Australia Holdings reported NPAT down 56% to $23.0m for the half-year ended 31 December 2012. Revenues from ordinary activities were $2.11bn, up 5% from the same period last year. Basic and Diluted EPS was 1.0 cent compared to 2.3 cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $42.6m compared to $253.5m last year. No dividend was declared.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2014  F 86.0 3.5 30.4 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013  F 62.6 2.7 -24.4 16.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012  A 78.1 3.6 -- 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2012 A 2013 F 2014 F 2012 A 2013 F 2014 F 2012 A 2013 F 2014 F
Qantas Airways (QAN) $3,553 M -0.2402 -0.1684 1.1272 18.0319 21.6826 10.1929 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Virgin Australia Holdings (VAH) $1,136 M -- -0.3782 0.4955 12.3249 19.8198 13.2530 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
VAH 1.55 21.6 1.04 10.00 0.25
Market 0.83 14.4 1.22 1.88 1.72
Sector 1.07 15.3 1.47 1.42 1.43

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr Keith Roberts Alternate Director 28 November 2008
Mr John Borghetti Chief Executive Officer,Managing Director 08 May 2010
Mr Robert Bain Thomas Non-Executive Director 08 September 2006
Samantha Mostyn Non-Executive Director 01 September 2010
Mr David Baxby Non-Executive Director 30 September 2004
Hon Mark Vaile Non-Executive Director 22 September 2008
Mr Joshua Bayliss Non-Executive Director 07 April 2011
Mr Neil Gregory Chatfield Non-Executive Director,Non-Executive Chairman 11 May 2006

Management
Name Position
Sankar Narayan Chief Financial Officer
Sean Donohue Chief Operating Officer
Adam Scott Rennie Thatcher Company Secretary
Merren McArthur Group Executive Alliances, Network and Yield
Mark Hassell Group Executive Brand and Customer Experience
Danielle Keighery Group Executive Corporate Communications
Jane McKeon Group Executive Government Relations
Richard Tanner Group Executive People

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
221,019,760 (10.00%) Etihad Airways P.J.S.C.
577,515,919 (26.13%) Virgin Group
408,616,773 (18.49%) Air New Zealand Associated Companies (Australia) Ltd

Calendar of Events
Date Event
25 February 2014 Report (Interim)
27 September 2013 Report (Annual)
27 August 2013 Report (Prelim)
© 2011 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. The data and content contained herein are not guaranteed to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar, nor its affiliates nor their content providers will have any liability for use or distribution of any of this information. To the extent that any of the content above constitutes advice, it is general advice that has been prepared by Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892 (a subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc.), without reference to your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any advice, you should consider the appropriateness of the advice and we recommend you obtain financial, legal and taxation advice before making any financial investment decision. If applicable investors should obtain the relevant product disclosure statement and consider it before making any decision to invest. Some material is copyright and published under licence from ASX Operations Pty Limited ACN 004 523 782 ("ASXO"). DISCLOSURE: Employees may have an interest in the securities discussed in this report. Please refer to our Financial Services Guide (FSG) for more information at www.morningstar.com.au/fsg.asp.

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