TELECOM CORPORATION OF NEW ZEALAND LIMITED (TEL)



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General Information
Company Name: Telecom Corporation of New Zealand Limited
Stock Code: TEL
Website: www.telecom.co.nz
GICS Sub-Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Market Cap ($M): 3,507
Equiv. Shares (M): 1,817

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 1.935 $ 1.995 $ 2.010 $ 1.915 $ 1.975 3,402,487 $ -0.040  -2.025 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Sell
Recommendation Date: 23rd May 2013
12 Month Target Price (average): $0
Brokers Surveyed: 8

Company Overview

Business Description:
Telecom Corporation of New Zealand Limited (TEL) is a NZ telecommunications service provider, offering a range of services and products to consumers and businesses. The Company operates the following business units: Telecom Retail, Gen-I, AAPT and Telecom Wholesale & International.

Strategy Analysis:
TEL is well-positioned to respond to changes in the industry. After de-merging its wholesale division, greater focus will be placed in its mobile division. Despite high penetration in handsets in the NZ mobile market, we expect smartphones to be the main driver for revenue growth as consumers upgrade their handsets. We expect postpaid ARPU to grow as smartphones continue to penetrate its postpaid subscriber base, leading to data revenue growth. The fixed broadband market continues to grow well in New Zealand. We do not see wireless broadband to be a direct substitute for fixed broadband given technological differences. Telecom Corporation of New Zealand reported NPAT down 83.9% to NZ$162.0m for the half-year ended 31 December 2012. Revenues from ordinary activities were NZ$2.14bn, down 9.5% from the same period last year. Basic and Diluted EPS was 9.0 NZ cents compared to 52.0 NZ cents last year. Net operating cash flow was NZ$424.0m compared to NZ$504.0m last year. The interim dividend declared was 8.0 NZ cents compared with 9.0 NZ cents last year. Comparisons with previous periods are complicated by the demerger of Chorus which took effect from December 2011. Reporting on continuing operations, after adjusting for non-recurring or unusual items, provides the most meaningful view of the company's performance as a separate company. On this basis, adjusted EBITDA was 3.7% higher, as reduced operating costs (principally due to lower labour costs and changes in Chorus trading arrangements) more than offset a decline in operating revenue.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2014  F 245.2 13.5 2.1 14.3 12.3 6.4 90.0
2013  F 240.1 13.2 16.8 14.6 12.3 6.4 90.0
2012  A 216.2 11.3 7.8 15.1 15.4 9.0 86.3
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2012 A 2013 F 2014 F 2012 A 2013 F 2014 F 2012 A 2013 F 2014 F
Chorus (CNU) $837 M -- 1.0151 0.0048 11.6153 5.7641 5.7364 0.0532 0.1085 0.1085
M2 Telecommunications Group (MTU) $983 M 0.1816 0.4516 0.3647 21.7701 14.9973 10.9892 0.0327 0.0345 0.0472
Telecom NZ (TEL) $3,589 M -- -0.0029 0.0257 11.5160 11.5497 11.2600 0.0793 0.0810 0.0810
Telstra (TLS) $61,593 M 0.2077 -0.0447 0.0668 15.7093 16.4452 15.4158 0.0566 0.0566 0.0586
TPG Telecom (TPM) $2,889 M 0.1397 0.6783 0.1109 31.6522 18.8601 16.9776 0.0151 0.0192 0.0232

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
TEL 0.55 11.3 2.82 9.98 1.06
Market 0.83 14.4 1.22 1.88 1.72
Sector 0.23 15.7 2.76 0.66 1.71

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr Simon Paul Moutter Chief Executive Officer,Managing Director 01 September 2012
Mr Mark Verbiest Non-Executive Chairman 01 December 2011
Dr Murray James Horn Non-Executive Director 01 July 2007
Mr Kevin John Roberts Non-Executive Director 28 August 2008
Mr Charles Sitch Non-Executive Director 01 December 2011
Ms Justine Smyth Non-Executive Director 01 December 2011
Ms Maury Leyland Non-Executive Director 01 December 2011
Mr Paul Berriman Non-Executive Director 01 December 2011

Management
Name Position
Chris Quin Acting Chief Executive Officer
Nick Olson Chief Financial Officer
Rod Snodgrass Chief Product Officer
Sarah Miller Company Secretary
David Havercroft Group Chief Technology Officer

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
113,820,785 (6.08%) BlackRock Investment Management (Australia) Limited (formerly Barclays Global Investors Australia)
109,981,249 (5.87%) AMP Capital Investors (New Zealand) Limited

Calendar of Events
Date Event
21 February 2014 Report (Interim)
23 August 2013 Report (Prelim)
23 August 2013 Report (Annual)
© 2011 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. The data and content contained herein are not guaranteed to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar, nor its affiliates nor their content providers will have any liability for use or distribution of any of this information. To the extent that any of the content above constitutes advice, it is general advice that has been prepared by Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892 (a subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc.), without reference to your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any advice, you should consider the appropriateness of the advice and we recommend you obtain financial, legal and taxation advice before making any financial investment decision. If applicable investors should obtain the relevant product disclosure statement and consider it before making any decision to invest. Some material is copyright and published under licence from ASX Operations Pty Limited ACN 004 523 782 ("ASXO"). DISCLOSURE: Employees may have an interest in the securities discussed in this report. Please refer to our Financial Services Guide (FSG) for more information at www.morningstar.com.au/fsg.asp.

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