GOODMAN GROUP (GMG)



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General Information
Company Name: Goodman Group
Stock Code: GMG
Website: www.goodman.com
GICS Sub-Industry: Diversified Real Estate Investment Trusts
Market Cap ($M): 9,097
Equiv. Shares (M): 1,713

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 5.310 $ 5.510 $ 5.510 $ 5.310 $ 5.430 4,137,503 $ -0.120  -2.210 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Hold
Recommendation Date: 1st May 2013
12 Month Target Price (average): $4.78
Brokers Surveyed: 7

Company Overview

Business Description:
Goodman Group (GMG) is an integrated property group with operations throughout Australia, New Zealand, Asia, Europe, United Kingdom, and North America. GMG, comprised of the stapled entities Goodman Limited and Goodman Industrial Trust, operates four divisions namely investment in directly and indirectly held industrial property, fund management, property services and development management.

Strategy Analysis:
GMG seeks to build scale for its own, manage, develop capital recycling business model by leveraging its established platforms in Australia, Europe and Asia, focusing on investors in industrial property. Entry into new markets of US, Brazil and China offer high growth potential. Future growth will be driven by property development and management earnings from the launch of new funds, primarily for large institutional investors, supplemented by occasional corporate acquisitions to further bolster scale. Goodman Group reported NPAT down 22.7% to $154.6m for the half-year ended 31 December 2012. Revenues from ordinary activities were $507.9m, up 8.7% from the same period last year. Diluted EPS was 1.2 cents compared to (4.2) cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $226.3m compared to $140.0m last year. No dividend was declared.


Financial Summary
Year to Jul NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2014  F 616.7 35.2 7.9 15.1 19.8 3.7 0.0
2013  F 556.8 32.7 7.7 16.3 18.5 3.5 0.0
2012  A 463.4 30.3 14.3 10.8 19.0 5.8 0.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2012 A 2013 F 2014 F 2012 A 2013 F 2014 F 2012 A 2013 F 2014 F
BWP Trust (BWP) $1,479 M 0.0823 0.0612 0.0253 20.5224 19.3390 18.8615 0.0533 0.0517 0.0533
CFS Retail Property Trust (CFX) $6,223 M -0.0017 0.1780 0.0249 19.0147 16.1409 15.7480 0.0595 0.0619 0.0640
Dexus Property (DXS) $5,734 M -0.6286 1.4498 0.0357 38.3495 15.6539 15.1148 0.0451 0.0489 0.0516
Goodman Gp (GMG) $9,303 M 0.0501 0.7370 0.0968 29.4469 16.9529 15.4569 0.0199 0.0350 0.0374
Investa Office Fund (IOF) $1,977 M 0.5933 0.1063 0.0346 15.9960 14.4589 13.9757 0.0543 0.0551 0.0569

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth
GMG 2.39 17.5 1.76 0.46
Market 0.83 14.9 1.29 1.81
Sector 1.47 16.4 1.04 2.39

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr Gregory (Greg) Goodman Chief Executive Officer,Executive Director 07 August 1998
Mr Danny Peeters Executive Director 01 January 2013
Mr Anthony Rozic Executive Director 01 January 2013
Mr Ian Douglas Ferrier Non-Executive Chairman 01 September 2003
Mr Philip Pearce Non-Executive Director 30 July 2011
Mr Philip (Phil) Pryke Non-Executive Director 13 October 2010
Ms Anne J Keating Non-Executive Director 23 February 2005
Mr John Beresford Harkness Non-Executive Director 23 February 2005
Mr James Christopher Sloman Non-Executive Director 01 February 2006
Ms Rebecca McGrath Non-Executive Director 03 April 2012
Mr Philip Fan Non-Executive Director 01 December 2011

Management
Name Position
Danny Peeters Chief Executive Officer, Continental Europe
Paul McGarry Chief Executive Officer, Japan
John Dakin Chief Executive Officer, New Zealand
Brandon Birtcher Chief Executive Officer, North America
Carl Bicego Company Secretary
Anthony Rozic Deputy Chief Executive Officer
Jason Little General Manager, Australia
Nick Vrondas Group Chief Financial Officer
Luc LaFontan Group Chief Information Officer
Michael O'Sullivan Group Corporate and Investor Relations Executive
Carolyn Scobie Group General Counsel
John Taylor Group General Manager, Human Resources
Alison Brink Group General Manager, Marketing
Nick Kurtis Group Head of Equities
James Inwood Group Head of Funds Management
Philip Pearce Managing Director, Greater China
Jim Johnston Managing Director, UK Business Parks
Charles Crossland Managing Director, UK Logistics

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
96,575,375 (6.02%) FMR LLC and FIL (formerly FMR Corp and FIL)
74,059,708 (4.61%) BlackRock Investment Management (Australia) Limited (formerly Barclays Global Investors Australia)
83,236,550 (5.19%) Vanguard Investments Australia Ltd
285,742,961 (17.80%) Leader Investment Corporation and China Investment Corporation

Calendar of Events
Date Event
20 February 2014 Report (Interim)
26 September 2013 Report (Annual)
09 August 2013 Report (Prelim)
© 2011 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. The data and content contained herein are not guaranteed to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar, nor its affiliates nor their content providers will have any liability for use or distribution of any of this information. To the extent that any of the content above constitutes advice, it is general advice that has been prepared by Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892 (a subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc.), without reference to your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any advice, you should consider the appropriateness of the advice and we recommend you obtain financial, legal and taxation advice before making any financial investment decision. If applicable investors should obtain the relevant product disclosure statement and consider it before making any decision to invest. Some material is copyright and published under licence from ASX Operations Pty Limited ACN 004 523 782 ("ASXO"). DISCLOSURE: Employees may have an interest in the securities discussed in this report. Please refer to our Financial Services Guide (FSG) for more information at www.morningstar.com.au/fsg.asp.

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