FORGE GROUP LIMITED (FGE)



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General Information
Company Name: Forge Group Limited
Stock Code: FGE
Website: www.forgegroup.com.au
GICS Sub-Industry: Construction & Engineering
Market Cap ($M): 349
Equiv. Shares (M): 86

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 4.170 $ 4.060 $ 4.250 $ 4.060 $ 4.050 807,112 $ 0.120  2.963 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Buy
Recommendation Date: 12th Jun 2013
12 Month Target Price (average): $6.023
Brokers Surveyed: 3

Company Overview

Business Description:
Forge Group Limited (FGE) is Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) service provider delivering end-to-end EPC turnkey solutions to the power and infrastructure, minerals and resources, and oil and gas sectors in Australasia and Africa. FGE’s head quarter is located in Perth, Western Australia. FGE consists of four business units: Forge Group Minerals & Resources, Forge Group Power, Forge Group Construction and Forge Group Asset Management.

Strategy Analysis:
FGE aims to offer cost effective and integrated contracting to clients, limiting the number of contractors on site. Forge Group reported NPAT up 60% to $33.92m for the half-year ended 31 December 2012. Revenues from ordinary activities were $502.93m. Diluted EPS was 39.36 cents compared to 24.73 cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $78.59m compared to $27.76m last year. The interim dividend declared was 10.0 cents, compared with 6.0 cents last year. The order book (yet to be recognised as revenue) as at 23 January 2013 was $1,038m compared to $971.0m as at 30 September 2012.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2014  F 74.0 85.9 3.7 4.7 24.0 5.9 --
2013  F 71.4 82.8 44.5 4.9 22.0 5.4 --
2012  A 49.3 57.3 26.8 9.1 14.0 2.7 100.0
Source: Aspect actuals / Thomson IBES estimates

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2012 A 2013 F 2014 F 2012 A 2013 F 2014 F 2012 A 2013 F 2014 F
Clough (CLO) $875 M 0.0077 -- -- 20.3069 -- -- 0.0231 -- --
Forge Group (FGE) $367 M 0.2672 0.4446 0.0367 7.4307 5.1437 4.9616 0.0329 0.0516 0.0563
Leighton (LEI) $5,359 M 0.3175 0.2617 0.0798 11.9384 9.4623 8.7630 0.0503 0.0623 0.0677
Monadelphous (MND) $1,493 M 0.3321 0.2125 -0.0894 11.5333 9.5117 10.4453 0.0761 0.0884 0.0829
UGL (UGL) $1,097 M 0.0626 -0.4544 0.3917 6.5074 11.9276 8.5707 0.1062 0.0795 0.0854

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
FGE 0.32 4.94 2.14 0.22 0.45
Market 0.80 13.9 1.17 1.90 1.62
Sector 0.70 7.09 0.99 1.67 0.42

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Mr David Simpson Chief Executive Officer,Managing Director 09 July 2012
Mr David Anthony Craig Non-Executive Chairman 08 March 2011
Mr Marcello (Marco) D Cardaci Non-Executive Director 04 June 2007
Mr Greg Kempton Non-Executive Director 29 November 2012
Mr John O'Connor Non-Executive Director 29 November 2012

Management
Name Position
Glen Smith Company Secretary

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
30,892,933 (35.85%) Clough Operations Pty Limited and associates

Calendar of Events
Date Event
17 February 2014 Report (Interim)
24 September 2013 Report (Annual)
14 August 2013 Report (Prelim)
© 2011 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. The data and content contained herein are not guaranteed to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar, nor its affiliates nor their content providers will have any liability for use or distribution of any of this information. To the extent that any of the content above constitutes advice, it is general advice that has been prepared by Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892 (a subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc.), without reference to your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any advice, you should consider the appropriateness of the advice and we recommend you obtain financial, legal and taxation advice before making any financial investment decision. If applicable investors should obtain the relevant product disclosure statement and consider it before making any decision to invest. Some material is copyright and published under licence from ASX Operations Pty Limited ACN 004 523 782 ("ASXO"). DISCLOSURE: Employees may have an interest in the securities discussed in this report. Please refer to our Financial Services Guide (FSG) for more information at www.morningstar.com.au/fsg.asp.

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