DUET GROUP (DUE)



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General Information
Company Name: DUET Group
Stock Code: DUE
Website: www.duet.net.au
GICS Sub-Industry: Electric Utilities
Market Cap ($M): 2,865
Equiv. Shares (M): 1,169

Current Price Data+
Current Price Open High Low Last Close Volume Price Movement
 $ 2.450 $ 2.470 $ 2.490 $ 2.440 $ 2.430 4,234,398 $ 0.020  0.823 %

Current Broker Consensus Recommendation more
Recommendation: Sell
Recommendation Date: 23rd Apr 2013
12 Month Target Price (average): $2.157
Brokers Surveyed: 7

Company Overview

Business Description:
DUET Group (DUE) is an owner of regulated energy utility infrastructure business in Australia. DUE is internally managed and consists of six stapled entities DUET1, DUET2, DUET3, DIHL, DMC1 and DMC2. The core assets of DUE’s investment portfolio include Dampier Bunbury Pipeline, Dampier Bunbury Pipeline Services Co, United Energy and Multinet Gas.

Strategy Analysis:
DUE focuses on regulated and contracted utilities with stable and predictable revenue streams. The portfolio is diversified across energy sources and utility sectors within Australia. Historically, DUE looked to expand via acquisitions in OECD countries but no acquisitions are expected in the foreseeable future given more expensive debt post GFC and a poor track record. Current focus is on delivering organic growth commitments including smart electricity meters in Victoria. An equity raising and asset transactions mid 2011 reduced risk and simplified the portfolio to three majority stakes. Management is cleaning DUE up, making it more transparent and ensuring gearing and distributions are sustainable. DUET Group reported a net loss of $46.6m for the half-year ended 31 December 2012. Revenues from ordinary activities were $641.1m, up 6.7rom the same period last year. Basic and Diluted EPS was (1.28) cents compared to 8.52 cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $307.81m compared to $371.28m last year. The interim dividend declared was 8.250 cents compared with 8.000 cents last year.


Financial Summary
Year to Jun NPAT EPS EPS chg (%) PER DPS Yield (%) Franking (%)
2014  F 101.9 8.5 -5.5 29.0 17.0 6.9 0.0
2013  F 102.5 9.0 -3.6 27.4 16.5 6.7 0.0
2012  A 99.3 9.3 -7.5 18.8 16.0 9.2 0.0
Source: Morningstar analyst estimates.

Peer Comparison
EPS Growth (%) P/E (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Company Mkt Cap 2012 A 2013 F 2014 F 2012 A 2013 F 2014 F 2012 A 2013 F 2014 F
DUET (DUE) $2,841 M -0.6151 0.4328 0.0874 44.7514 31.2339 28.7234 0.0658 0.0679 0.0700
Infigen Energy (IFN) $191 M -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

Market Comparison
Earnings P/E Ratio P/B Ratio P/E Growth P/S Ratio
DUE 1.41 32.6 1.97 1.31 2.18
Market 0.83 15.0 1.29 1.83 1.78
Sector 1.03 20.0 1.23 1.31 2.37

Directors
Name Position Start Date
Ms Shemara Wikramanayake Alternate Director 25 November 2010
Michael Bessell Alternate Director 07 December 2012
Mr John S Roberts Executive Chairman 14 May 2004
Mr Douglas James Halley Non-Executive Director 13 February 2006
Mr Scott Davies Non-Executive Director 18 January 2012
Hon Michael Lee Non-Executive Director 16 June 2004
Mr Duncan Sutherland Non-Executive Director 16 June 2004
Ms Emma Stein Non-Executive Director 16 June 2004
Hon Ron Finlay Non-Executive Director 16 June 2004
Mr Eric Goodwin Non-Executive Director 16 June 2004

Management
Name Position
David Bartholomew Chief Executive Officer
Leanne Pickering Company Secretary

Substantial Shareholders
Holding Name
138,279,996 (12.46%) AMP Limited
88,018,776 (8.06%) Lazard Asset Management Pacific Co

Calendar of Events
Date Event
14 February 2014 Report (Interim)
26 September 2013 Report (Annual)
16 August 2013 Report (Prelim)
© 2011 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. The data and content contained herein are not guaranteed to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar, nor its affiliates nor their content providers will have any liability for use or distribution of any of this information. To the extent that any of the content above constitutes advice, it is general advice that has been prepared by Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892 (a subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc.), without reference to your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any advice, you should consider the appropriateness of the advice and we recommend you obtain financial, legal and taxation advice before making any financial investment decision. If applicable investors should obtain the relevant product disclosure statement and consider it before making any decision to invest. Some material is copyright and published under licence from ASX Operations Pty Limited ACN 004 523 782 ("ASXO"). DISCLOSURE: Employees may have an interest in the securities discussed in this report. Please refer to our Financial Services Guide (FSG) for more information at www.morningstar.com.au/fsg.asp.

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